Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.106016 0.162890 0.229837 0.311881 0.407515 0.513631 0.638587
2025-12-21 0.044047 0.110748 0.206064 0.337978 0.505427 0.703046 0.947097
2025-12-28 0.021186 0.087679 0.199160 0.366146 0.588554 0.859443 1.201667
2026-01-04 0.007173 0.065991 0.186032 0.380511 0.650880 0.988990 1.423987
2026-01-11 0.002549 0.058248 0.191255 0.418068 0.741607 1.152371 1.686220
2026-01-18 0.000273 0.049204 0.190856 0.445406 0.817572 1.296731 1.925215
2026-01-25 NaN 0.035705 0.176775 0.448785 0.858893 1.395857 2.107808
2026-02-01 NaN 0.018447 0.144752 0.417955 0.848793 1.426261 2.203188
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006243 0.111508 0.378006 0.821043 1.430395 2.263093
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001937 0.095425 0.365343 0.831319 1.483500 2.383885
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000608 0.089980 0.372209 0.870785 1.575787 2.554851
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000003 0.080451 0.368718 0.893153 1.644181 2.694683
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.065692 0.352031 0.895574 1.687755 2.806675
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.070546 0.382047 0.974990 1.840132 3.062851
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.075182 0.411507 1.053484 1.991214 3.317331
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.074240 0.426951 1.108854 2.109967 3.529640
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.082898 0.466812 1.205042 2.286539 3.818420
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.087247 0.495807 1.283275 2.437975 4.074376
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.081793 0.499384 1.318998 2.529409 4.251377
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.063880 0.466700 1.292153 2.531211 4.309323
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.045137 0.424254 1.245323 2.502410 4.325079
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.037037 0.410773 1.247586 2.543360 4.433018
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.035149 0.418083 1.287055 2.638610 4.614046